Draft Research · Analysis
Analysis.
16 content series. Data-driven, model-backed, human-reviewed. Published on a disciplined weekly cadence — free and open.
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Tier 1 · Auto Published
2025 Probability Ladder — Week 14
The top 10 prospects by model probability score. M. Celebrini leads at 94 with the SHL continuing to outperform all leagues on aggregate score. Notable movers: two USHL players enter the top 15 for the first time this window.
OHL vs WHL — 10 Year Conversion Rate
OHL draftees converted to 200 NHL games at 22.4% vs the WHL’s 19.8% over the 10-year dataset. The gap narrows considerably in rounds 3–7. WHL leads on volume.